Every school playground has seen how this goes. If a tyrannical,
malevolent bully is constantly pushing his weight around there is only
one sure way to face him down and make sure he STAYS down.
Children know the score and the script when there’s a bully around. You stay tight with your friends.
It’s not surprising then that China has issued its strongest
statement yet making it clear that it will assist Russia in defending
itself. But China is not the only friend Russia has that may be relied
upon to stand up to the collective western bully… far from it.
Putin has been doing the rounds lately. First he checked in with Xi
in Beijing. Then, in recent days he first visited Belarus, then other
nations within the mutual defense group known as the Collective Security
Treaty Organization. Putin was checking the members of the CSTO were
ready for the fight clearly to come.
Wikipedia:
‘The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) is an
intergovernmental military alliance in Eurasia consisting of six
post-Soviet states: Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia,
and Tajikistan, formed in 2002. The Collective Security Treaty has its
origins in the Soviet Armed Forces, which was replaced in 1992 by the
United Armed Forces of the Commonwealth of Independent States, and was
then itself replaced by the successor armed forces of the respective
independent states.
Similar to Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty and the
Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance, Article 4 of the
Collective Security Treaty (CST) establishes that an aggression against
one signatory would be perceived as an aggression against all. The 2002
CSTO charter reaffirmed the desire of all participating states to
abstain from the use or threat of force. Signatories are prohibited from
joining other military alliances.’
Why is any of this especially relevant now? Because, for one thing,
it is clear that most NATO nations are poised to enter the conflict in
Ukraine directly. For another, the green light has just been given by
most of them to allow missile strikes on the territory of the Russian
Federation.
Add one and one to get two here. For the first time officially NATO
states, through their Ukrainian proxy will clearly demonstrate their
aggression against Russia through acts of war against it. This triggers
the agreement among the CSTO nations that aggression against one of
their number will be perceived as ‘an aggression against all’.
Now you know the reason for Putin’s travels to Russia’s most powerful friendly nations in the last few days.
It is speculated that Russia is also seeking assistance from another
state, Afghanistan. We may hear in the coming days that Russia has
formally recognized the Taliban as the legal government of Afghanistan.
At that point watch for the emergence of a mutual defense pact between
Afghanistan and Russia. Shortly after there could well be a significant
transfer of seasoned Afghan fighters to the territory of the Russian
Federation.
Iran too is, as we know, a good friend of Russia’s and a member
along with Russia of the BRICS group. Add the DPRK, another friendly
nation into the mix also. These are powerful allies who appear ready to
join the fight.
As the saying goes, what’s good for the goose is good for the
gander. If the western nations are going to act in unison against Russia
in Ukraine then Russia will not by any means stand alone against them.
Russia has a great many friends among the global majority who have for a
long time now had it up to the back teeth with the interminable
bullying of the western powers. They see their chance at last to shuck
off the persistent threats of the bully by standing in unison with
powerful others against it.
With the USA, UK and most EU nations apparently up for a fight it is
only natural for Russia to band together as many others as possible to
fight against them… a fight, quite possibly, to the death.
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