The next two contests are in Nevada (a caucus state), and South Carolina (a primary state). These are the first two states with large minority voting blocs: Hispanic/Latino in Nevada, and African-American in South Carolina.
And while polling has been sparse in Nevada, we do have five relatively recent polls to gauge a baseline for what to expect. And this is where the Biden campaign needs to right their ship. It’s also a real challenge for Buttigieg and Klobuchar to maintain their recent momentum.
| CBS | Fox News | Fox News | USA Today | Rev-Jou | Average | ||
| Biden | 33 | 24 | 23 | 19 | 18 | 23.4 | |
| Sanders | 23 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 25 | 20.2 | |
| Warren | 21 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 15 | |
| Buttigieg | 9 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 8.2 | |
| Steyer | 2 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 7.6 | |
| Klobuchar | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
As for South Carolina, this in many ways is being seen as Biden’s last stand. And the polls are very favorable to him. If he can pull of wins here and In Nevada, the race opens up again right before Super Tuesday.
| Post Co | Fox News | Courier | ECU | Post Co | Average | ||
| Biden | 27 | 36 | 25 | 37 | 28 | 30.6 | |
| Sanders | 20 | 14 | 20 | 14 | 20 | 17.6 | |
| Steyer | 5 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 14.2 | |
| Warren | 19 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 11 | |
| Buttigieg | 9 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 6.4 | |
| Klobuchar | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2.8 |
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